The Liquidation Forecast: What Manufacturers and Wholesalers Can Expect in 2026

Steven Beadles • December 1, 2025

A New Year, a New Playbook: Wholesale Liquidation Moves Upstream Again


As 2025 winds down, one trend is crystal clear: the liquidation process is no longer an end-of-life clearance tactic. It’s a strategic lever used earlier in the supply chain — particularly for manufacturers and distributors.

“The mindset has changed,” says Allen R. Klein, President of ARK. “Instead of asking how to fix surplus after it piles up, smart suppliers are saying now, ‘Let’s plan for surplus before it becomes a problem.’”


2026: The Year Liquidation Goes Proactive

What’s ahead for the wholesale liquidation space in 2026?
According to the
Hilco Global Q4 report, surplus inventory is shifting upstream — away from retail shelves and toward manufacturing and distribution centers. This realignment is being driven by:

  • Overproduction during volatile demand swings

  • Unpredictable Q1 order volumes

  • A surge in direct-to-consumer models bypassing traditional retail

  • Rising costs of storage and warehousing

“There’s a reason we’re getting more calls before product even ships,” says Roger Bolduc, ARK’s Vice President of Operations. “Clients don’t want to wait until February to address problems they saw coming in December.”


What Manufacturers Can Do Now

Before the January reset, ARK recommends manufacturers consider these steps:

✅ Forecast conservatively. Shift from speculative bulk orders to modular production tied to committed demand.
✅ Audit existing warehouse stock. Identify SKUs at risk of obsolescence, aging packaging, or seasonal mismatch.
✅ Contact liquidation partners early. Liquidation is no longer a last resort. A trusted partner can help plan placement, preserve brand integrity, and repurpose goods — before costly delays.


Liquidation Isn’t Just About Dollars — It’s About Relationships

“One mistake manufacturers make is assuming liquidation is transactional,” says Bolduc. “It’s not. You’re handing off product you’ve invested time and money into — your partner’s discretion, speed, and market reach matter.”

In the age of AI-driven liquidation platforms, ARK still operates on a hands-on model. Why? Because sensitive liquidation often involves:

  • Complex logistics with narrow delivery windows

  • Export compliance for global buyers

  • Strategic bundling, kitting, or repackaging

  • Maintaining brand image and avoiding channel conflict


Sustainability Will Shape 2026 Decisions

As ESG pressure mounts, liquidation is being recognized not just as a financial decision — but as an environmental one.

According to Sourceability’s “Transforming Excess Supply into Valuable Assets” report, manufacturers that liquidate responsibly are minimizing waste, avoiding landfill overflow, and preserving product lifecycle value.

“Liquidation is a green strategy when done right,” says Klein. “We help clients redirect inventory to productive channels — not dumpsters.”


📦 Ready to Move Inventory?

Contact the Allen R. Klein Company today and learn how decades of experience and trusted relationships can help with your company’s liquidation needs.


By Steven Beadles May 5, 2026
Excess inventory is one of the most persistent realities in modern retail. Every season, manufacturers, distributors, and retailers find themselves managing product that no longer fits within primary sales channels. Assortments change, forecasts miss, packaging updates occur, and consumer demand shifts. The common assumption is that this inventory simply disappears through discounting or is written off entirely. In reality, it moves. Behind the scenes, there is a structured and highly active secondary market dedicated to redistributing retail-ready goods into alternative channels. “Most people think excess inventory goes away,” says Allen R. Klein, President of the Allen R. Klein Company. “It doesn’t. It moves into different retail environments, often very quickly.” Liquidation Is Not Disposal The term “liquidation” often carries the wrong connotation. Rather than representing a loss, liquidation is more accurately a form of redistribution. Product that no longer aligns with one retail strategy can still hold value in another. According to the National Retail Federation, inventory management has become increasingly dynamic as retailers refine assortments and respond more quickly to changing consumer behavior. These adjustments frequently create surplus inventory that must be repositioned. That product does not lose its utility. It simply requires a different path to market. “Retail-ready goods still have value,” Klein explains. “The challenge is finding the right channel where that value can be realized.” The Buyers Behind the Market The secondary retail market is supported by a broad network of buyers, each with different requirements and purchasing strategies. These include: ● Dollar stores and value-focused chains ● Discount retailers ● Regional store groups ● Independent operators ● Export-focused buyers Each of these channels serves a distinct segment of the consumer market, often emphasizing value, flexibility, and opportunistic purchasing. As discussed in recent industry analysis, including the continued expansion of value-oriented retail, dollar store and discount channels are playing an increasingly important role in absorbing excess inventory. “Buyers in these channels are very disciplined,” says Roger Bolduc, Vice President of Operations at the Allen R. Klein Company. “They know what works for their customers, and they’re ready to act when the right product becomes available.” How Inventory Moves The movement of excess inventory is driven by timing, relationships, and market awareness. Unlike traditional retail distribution, which follows structured purchasing cycles, the closeout market operates with a high degree of flexibility. Opportunities emerge quickly, and product must be placed efficiently. Inventory may originate from multiple points within the supply chain: ● Manufacturers adjusting production ● Distributors managing working capital ● Retailers refining assortments ● Post-season or program transitions As seen in recent months, including the impact of SKU rationalization strategies and post-holiday return cycles, inventory can enter secondary channels earlier and more frequently than in previous years. The ability to move that product depends on access to the right buyers. “There’s a network behind the scenes,” Bolduc says. “The key is knowing who those buyers are and how to connect product with demand quickly.” Why Speed Matters Timing plays a critical role in preserving the value of excess inventory. Products that remain in storage for extended periods face multiple risks, including changing consumer preferences, packaging obsolescence, and increased carrying costs. McKinsey & Company has noted that companies are placing greater emphasis on inventory velocity and working capital efficiency. Holding excess product ties up resources and limits flexibility. As a result, many organizations are choosing to move inventory more quickly, even if it means entering secondary channels sooner. “Speed protects value,” Klein says. “The longer product sits, the more complicated the situation becomes.” A Market That Continues to Grow The secondary retail market has evolved into a critical component of the broader retail ecosystem. As consumer demand shifts and retailers refine strategies, the flow of inventory into alternative channels has become more consistent. The growth of value-oriented retail, combined with ongoing supply chain adjustments, suggests that this market will continue to expand. “Liquidation is really about keeping product moving,” Bolduc says. “It’s not the end of the line. It’s part of the process.” The Bigger Picture Excess inventory is not an exception. It is a constant. What matters is how effectively that inventory is managed once it leaves primary retail channels. The companies that understand how the secondary market operates — and who can act quickly when opportunities arise — are better positioned to maintain value and operational efficiency. Liquidation, when approached strategically, becomes a tool for continuity rather than a measure of loss. RELATED INDUSTRY INSIGHTS ● Retail Bankruptcies Create Opportunity for Liquidators ● Tariff Whiplash and the Surge in Surplus Inventory ● The Return Tsunami: Reverse Logistics and Post-Holiday Liquidation ● Why Dollar Stores Are Absorbing More Closeout Inventory Than Ever ● Retailers Are Cutting SKUs. What Happens to the Excess Inventory? ☎️ Ready to Move Inventory? Contact the Allen R. Klein Company today and learn how decades of experience and trusted relationships can help with your company’s liquidation needs.
By Steven Beadles April 1, 2026
Dollar stores are expanding as consumers trade down. Here’s how closeout inventory is fueling growth in value retail channels.